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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Crawley Town

Notts County
3 - 1
Crawley

McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Notts County
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.51% (0.299 0.3) 19.85% (-0.127 -0.13) 23.64% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 68.42% (0.28500000000001 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.73% (0.44800000000001 0.45)28.27% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92% (0.554 0.55)49.08% (-0.553 -0.55)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (0.22 0.22)10.23% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.45% (0.49199999999999 0.49)33.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (0.13200000000001 0.13)23.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (0.188 0.19)57.94% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 56.51%
    Crawley Town 23.64%
    Draw 19.85%
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.96% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.83% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.041 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.29% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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