League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County3 - 1Crawley
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Crawley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Notts County
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.51% ( 0.3) | 19.85% ( -0.13) | 23.64% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 68.42% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.45) | 28.27% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.92% ( 0.55) | 49.08% ( -0.55) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( 0.22) | 10.23% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.45% ( 0.49) | 33.55% ( -0.49) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.13) | 23.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.06% ( 0.19) | 57.94% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Notts County 56.51%
Crawley Town 23.64%
Draw 19.85%
| Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.72% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.64% |
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
