League Two | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe1 - 0Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town
With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Crawley Town |
38.86% ( -0.32) | 25.9% ( 0.25) | 35.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
