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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
42.53% (![]() | 24.87% (![]() | 32.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% (![]() | 45.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.87% (![]() | 68.13% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% (![]() | 21.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% (![]() | 54.64% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% (![]() | 26.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% (![]() | 62.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 11.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |