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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
23% ( 0.02) | 23.01% ( -0.01) | 54% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% ( 0.07) | 44.17% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% ( 0.07) | 66.55% ( -0.06) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( 0.06) | 33.15% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( 0.06) | 69.75% ( -0.06) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.71% ( 0.02) | 16.3% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.14% ( 0.04) | 45.86% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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