Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.