Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.