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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
41.46% ( 0.12) | 24.74% ( 0.05) | 33.79% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 58.17% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( -0.25) | 44.91% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( -0.24) | 67.26% ( 0.24) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( -0.05) | 21.67% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.18% ( -0.07) | 54.81% ( 0.07) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( -0.22) | 25.73% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% ( -0.3) | 60.66% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |