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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
46.45% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 27.77% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.09% ( 0.22) | 51.9% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.34% ( 0.19) | 73.65% ( -0.19) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.1) | 22.32% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.15) | 55.8% ( -0.16) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% ( 0.14) | 33.35% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% ( 0.15) | 69.97% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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