Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gillingham.