League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
2 - 0
Morecambe

Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
44.97% ( -0.16)	26.92% ( -0.05)	28.11% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88% (

0.31)

56.11% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81% (

0.25)

77.18% (

-0.25)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.06)

24.85% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

0.08)

59.45% (

-0.08)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.34)

35.32% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.35)

72.07% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 44.97%

Morecambe 28.11%

Draw 26.91%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.11%