League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Sutton2 - 1Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Colchester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Sutton United 2-0 Gillingham
Gillingham will take some confidence into this game considering they won the reverse fixture earlier this season, but this is still going to be a tough test. The visitors have not gained three points on the road yet in the 2022-23 campaign, and that is unlikely to change on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Gillingham |
53.51% ( -0.05) | 27.31% ( 0.04) | 19.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.03% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
