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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
42.8% (0.153 0.15) 27.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 29.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.16 -0.16)57.24% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.129 -0.13)78.09% (0.13 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.218 -0.22)34.63% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.231 -0.23)71.35% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.8%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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