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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | 1st Leg
May 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
0 - 2
Doncaster


Demetriou (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Molyneux (34'), Biggins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Doncaster Rovers

 Although both teams finished level on points, Doncaster will have momentum on their side after winning 10 of their previous 11 matches, and we think that they will claim another victory when they face a Crewe side that has lost each of their last three home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
29.96% (0.322 0.32) 24.19% (0.286 0.29) 45.84% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.8 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-1.141 -1.14)43.89% (1.142 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-1.126 -1.13)66.28% (1.127 1.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.357 -0.36)27.64% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.463 -0.46)63.18% (0.464 0.46)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)19.3% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.173 -1.17)51.06% (1.174 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 29.96%
    Doncaster Rovers 45.84%
    Draw 24.19%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.262 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Crewe vs Doncaster

Crewe Alexandra
22.2%
Draw
9.3%
Doncaster Rovers
68.5%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Adelakun (17'), Rowe (58')

Rowe (37'), Adebisi (43'), Cooney (54'), Williams (65')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
3-2
Doncaster
Offord (29'), O'Riordan (44', 90+2')
Thomas (90')
Faal (16'), Ironside (57')
Maxwell (19'), Anderson (37')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Doncaster
0-2
Crewe
Baker-Richardson (31'), O'Riordan (37')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Baker-Richardson (14')
Miller (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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