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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
39.98% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() | 35.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% (![]() | 67.29% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% (![]() | 22.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% (![]() | 55.92% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% (![]() | 24.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% (![]() | 59.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |