League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AFC Wimbledon4 - 2Notts County
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in EFL Trophy
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 4-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
39.98% ( 0.01) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 35.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.03) | 44.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.03) | 67.29% ( -0.03) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.02) | 22.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.08% ( 0.03) | 55.92% ( -0.03) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.01) | 24.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.45% ( 0.02) | 59.55% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon 39.98%
Notts County 35.22%
Draw 24.8%
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.22% |
How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%Draw
20.0%Notts County
20.0%5
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
