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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Barrow
1 - 0
Tranmere

Campbell (80')
Foley (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walker (39'), Norris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Barrow
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 4-2 Notts County
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Despite a heavy defeat to Wrexham, Barrow have still performed well in some difficult games during their three-match winless run. Even though Tranmere are 11 places below Barrow heading into this one, they will still fancy their chances given recent form, and it could be a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawTranmere Rovers
48.67% (-0.203 -0.2) 26.11% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 25.21% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.226 -0.23)54.87% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-0.186 -0.19)76.16% (0.179 0.18)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)22.57% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.275 -0.27)56.17% (0.268 0.27)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)37.06% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 48.67%
    Tranmere Rovers 25.21%
    Draw 26.1%
BarrowDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Barrow vs Tranmere

Barrow
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tranmere Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Tranmere
1-2
Barrow
Hawkes (63' pen.)
O'Connor (35'), Hendry (90+6')
Canavan (19'), Spence (70')
Campbell (37'), Ray (51')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Barrow
1-2
Tranmere
Stevens (38')
Turnbull (6'), Hemmings (82')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Tranmere
1-0
Barrow
Hawkes (25')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Barrow
1-1
Tranmere
Banks (58' pen.)
Banks (12'), Brown (55'), Driscoll-Glennon (67')
Hawkes (16')
Cogley (57')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-0
Barrow
Maynard (7'), Morris (87')
Spearing (54'), Clarke (78'), Nevitt (90+2')

Brown (34'), Jones (43'), Gotts (47'), Taylor (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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