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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
3 - 1
Notts County

Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 0-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
20.95% (0.323 0.32) 20.21% (0.081 0.08) 58.83% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.064000000000007 0.06)33.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.32300000000001 0.32)28.99% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.4 0.4)64.88% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)11.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.09% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)35.91% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 20.95%
    Notts County 58.84%
    Draw 20.21%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 20.95%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.21%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.84%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Harrogate
0-2
Notts County

Burrell (62')
Smith (45')
Dennis (45'), Boldewijn (88')
Kelly-Evans (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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