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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
3 - 1
Notts County

Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 0-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
20.95% (0.323 0.32) 20.21% (0.081 0.08) 58.83% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.064000000000007 0.06)33.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.32300000000001 0.32)28.99% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.4 0.4)64.88% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)11.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.09% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)35.91% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 20.95%
    Notts County 58.84%
    Draw 20.21%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 20.95%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.21%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.84%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Harrogate
0-2
Notts County

Burrell (62')
Smith (45')
Dennis (45'), Boldewijn (88')
Kelly-Evans (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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