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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
35.03% ( 0.05) | 23.98% ( 0.03) | 40.99% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% ( -0.13) | 41.06% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.54% ( -0.14) | 63.45% ( 0.13) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( -0.03) | 23.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( -0.05) | 57.13% ( 0.04) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( -0.1) | 20.26% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( -0.15) | 52.6% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |