Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.