League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Swindon Town
In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend.
Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96% . A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%) . The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood .
Result Crawley Town Draw Swindon Town 30.74% ( -0.52) 25.3% ( 0.15) 43.96% ( 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.75)
51.59% ( -0.87) 48.41% ( 0.87)
29.45% ( -0.8) 70.55% ( 0.8)
70.62% ( -0.79) 29.38% ( 0.78)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.63% ( -0.97) 65.37% ( 0.97)
78% ( -0.19) 21.99% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.7% ( -0.29) 55.3% ( 0.29)
Crawley Town 30.74%
Swindon Town 43.96%
Draw 25.29%
Crawley Town Draw Swindon Town 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74% 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96%
How you voted: Crawley vs Swindon
Crawley Town
Draw
Swindon Town
12
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-05 05:48:46
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