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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Swindon Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Swindon

Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Lynch (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reed (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Swindon Town

 In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend. Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
30.74% (-0.525 -0.52) 25.3% (0.149 0.15) 43.96% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.867 -0.87)48.41% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.797 -0.8)70.55% (0.79700000000001 0.8)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.78500000000001 -0.79)29.38% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.973 -0.97)65.37% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)21.99% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (-0.293 -0.29)55.3% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.74%
    Swindon Town 43.96%
    Draw 25.29%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Crawley vs Swindon

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swindon Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Crawley
Morais (45')
Sesay (40'), Camara (42'), McNerney (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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