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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
53.5% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0.02) | 20.33% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.27% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.8% ( 0.06) | 59.2% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% ( 0.05) | 79.63% ( -0.05) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% ( 0.04) | 22.28% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% ( 0.06) | 55.73% ( -0.06) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.67% ( 0.03) | 44.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.61% ( 0.02) | 80.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |