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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
28.67% | 28.75% | 42.58% |
Both teams to score 43.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.79% | 62.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.11% | 81.89% |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% | 38.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% | 74.96% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% | 28.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% | 64.82% |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.62% Total : 28.66% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |