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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
33.34% ( 1.79) | 28.64% ( -0.53) | 38.01% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 45.72% ( 1.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.29% ( 2.05) | 60.71% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.22% ( 1.52) | 80.77% ( -1.52) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.12% ( 2.38) | 33.88% ( -2.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.45% ( 2.5) | 70.55% ( -2.5) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.27) | 30.85% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( 0.32) | 67.13% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |