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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
70.88% ( -0) | 17.01% ( 0) | 12.1% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.17% ( 0) | 35.83% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.08% ( -0) | 57.91% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.03% | 8.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.4% ( -0) | 30.6% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.11% ( 0) | 40.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.54% ( 0) | 77.46% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.07% 6-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 1% Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.01% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |