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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Colchester
1 - 2
Wrexham

Akinde (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mullin (62'), Cleworth (85')
Evans (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Colchester
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Wrexham

Cowley has made Colchester difficult to beat, and it would not be a surprise to see the hosts frustrate Wrexham this weekend. The visitors desperately need to win to boost their promotion hopes, though, and we can see the Welsh team navigating their way to a huge three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
32.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 24.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 42.19% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)45.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)26.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.02% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 32.9%
    Wrexham 42.2%
    Draw 24.9%
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Colchester vs Wrexham

Colchester United
21.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wrexham
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Wrexham
2-1
Colchester
Lee (4'), Mitchell (69' og.)
Evans (20'), McClean (37'), Tozer (56'), Davies (90+4')
Evans (26')
Fevrier (89')
Taylor (43'), Kelleher (74')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Colchester
Jones (50'), Sam (80')
Brown (71'), Danns (60')
Fagan (45')
Oct 19, 2004 3pm
Colchester
1-2
Wrexham
Danns (49')
Fagan (75')
Roberts (59'), Llewellyn (90')
Williams (45'), Llewellyn (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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