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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Colchester
1 - 2
Wrexham

Akinde (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mullin (62'), Cleworth (85')
Evans (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Colchester
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Wrexham

Cowley has made Colchester difficult to beat, and it would not be a surprise to see the hosts frustrate Wrexham this weekend. The visitors desperately need to win to boost their promotion hopes, though, and we can see the Welsh team navigating their way to a huge three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
32.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 24.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 42.19% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)45.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)26.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.02% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 32.9%
    Wrexham 42.2%
    Draw 24.9%
Colchester UnitedDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Colchester vs Wrexham

Colchester United
21.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wrexham
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Wrexham
2-1
Colchester
Lee (4'), Mitchell (69' og.)
Evans (20'), McClean (37'), Tozer (56'), Davies (90+4')
Evans (26')
Fevrier (89')
Taylor (43'), Kelleher (74')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Colchester
Jones (50'), Sam (80')
Brown (71'), Danns (60')
Fagan (45')
Oct 19, 2004 3pm
Colchester
1-2
Wrexham
Danns (49')
Fagan (75')
Roberts (59'), Llewellyn (90')
Williams (45'), Llewellyn (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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