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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Crawley Town

Wrexham
4 - 1
Crawley

Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-2 Crawley Town

Tuesday's game is undoubtedly far from straightforward to call. The home side's ambition to end in the top two positions means you are inclined to back them, but Crawley's four-game goal-laden away winning streak causes you to err on the side of caution. The spoils could be shared in the re-arranged match at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
52.95% (1.394 1.39) 22.98% (-0.56 -0.56) 24.08% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.958 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (1.699 1.7)42.87% (-1.701 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (1.665 1.67)65.27% (-1.665 -1.67)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (1.125 1.13)16.19% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (2.01 2.01)45.67% (-2.011 -2.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.22499999999999 0.22)31.5% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.259 0.26)67.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 52.95%
    Crawley Town 24.08%
    Draw 22.97%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.213 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.132 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.394 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Crawley Town
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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