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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Stockport County

Forest Green
0 - 3
Stockport


Osadebe (33'), Bunker (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Camps (18'), Richards (28'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Stockport County

Stockport's emphatic victory against their promotion rivals MK Dons last time out could prove to be a hugely important one, not least as it is likely to breathe new fire into their final eight matches of the season. Forest Green have lost successive games in recent weeks and we would be amazed if that is not extended to three by the time that the referee's full-time whistle blows on Friday, and they may be lucky to avoid a thrashing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
19.47% (0.029 0.03) 22.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 57.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)38.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 19.47%
    Stockport County 57.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.94%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Stockport

Forest Green Rovers
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Stockport County
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stockport
2-0
Forest Green
Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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