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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.98% ( -0.11) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 40.34% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.93% ( 0.07) | 49.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( 0.07) | 71.14% ( -0.06) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.04) | 63.15% ( 0.04) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( 0.14) | 58.31% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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