Toluca

2 - 1

Tigres

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Tigres win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.