Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.8% ( -0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.12) | 75.77% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.37% ( 0.56) | 29.63% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.25% ( 0.67) | 50.75% ( -0.66) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.45% ( 0.35) | 40.55% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% ( 0.32) | 77.15% ( -0.31) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.51% ( 0.16) | 6.5% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.75% ( 0.41) | 24.26% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43% | 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |