Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
34.85% (![]() | 24.39% (![]() | 40.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% (![]() | 43.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% (![]() | 65.46% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% (![]() | 24.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% (![]() | 58.61% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.88% (![]() | 54.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 8.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.76% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |