Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
Rennes1 - 3Lille
We said: Rennes 1-2 Lille
With both sides going head to head for a place on the shores of the continent next season, we predict Lille will continue their recent bragging rights by closing the gap to two points before the final whistle on Saturday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
42.88% ( 3.97) | 25.21% ( -0.37) | 31.91% ( -3.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.8) | 47.6% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.73) | 69.8% ( -0.73) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 2.34) | 22.16% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.45% ( 3.4) | 55.55% ( -3.4) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -1.83) | 28.21% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.09% ( -2.37) | 63.9% ( 2.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Rennes 42.88%
Lille 31.91%
Draw 25.21%
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.73)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.44)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.91% |
How you voted: Rennes vs Lille
Rennes
54.9%Draw
24.2%Lille
20.9%91
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4.05pm
May 21, 2022 8pm
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Rennes
0-1
Lille
N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (22'), Grenier (40')
