Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
