Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
We said: Monaco 2-0 Le Havre
Monaco have been exciting, full of exuberance and strong at the back in their opening five games of the season, and that should continue here even if Hutter opts to make one or two personnel changes. Le Havre have made a promising start under Digard, but this Monaco side is loaded with plenty of quality and the stars would need to align for the visitors to take anything from their travels here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Le Havre |
58.07% ( 0.21) | 22.2% ( -0.07) | 19.73% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
