Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
42.48% ( 0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 31.87% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% ( -0.23) | 49.45% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( -0.2) | 71.49% ( 0.2) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( -0.08) | 23.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( -0.12) | 57.01% ( 0.12) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% ( -0.16) | 29.14% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |