Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
42.48% ( 0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 31.87% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% ( -0.23) | 49.45% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( -0.2) | 71.49% ( 0.2) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( -0.08) | 23.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( -0.12) | 57.01% ( 0.12) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% ( -0.16) | 29.14% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |