Coupe de France | Round of 64

Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 2
Monaco

Maouassa (43'), Sotoca (62')
Maouassa (45+2'), Samba (45+2'), Frankowski (88')
Haise (24')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ben Yedder (1'), Akliouche (21')
Akliouche (53'), Majecki (79')

Monaco win 6-5 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

This may be the most competitive encounter in the third round of this tournament, as both teams have plenty of quality in the attack. Monaco always seem to find another gear when needed away from home, and we believe they will do enough to advance beyond the third round on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Monaco
44.95% ( 1.05)	24.44% ( -0.12)	30.6% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3% (

0.14)

44.69% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

0.14)

67.06% (

-0.14)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

0.52)

20.01% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8% (

0.83)

52.2% (

-0.84)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.53)

27.62% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

-0.69)

63.15% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Lens 44.95%

Monaco 30.6%

Draw 24.44%

Lens	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.6%