MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 17:14:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Metz logo

Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz

Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Metz

Draws have been commonplace in this fixture over the past several years, and while the two sides have not squared off since pre-COVID times, we can envisage a similar pattern continuing here. Toulouse have established themselves as the stalemate specialists at home, but Metz have developed an affinity for dogged defensive showings on the road, and both sides should leave with another point in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMetz
38.73% (-0.422 -0.42) 26.34% (0.145 0.15) 34.93% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.578 -0.58)51.75% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.503 -0.5)73.52% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.497 -0.5)26.12% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.671 -0.67)61.19% (0.671 0.67)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.33% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.139 -0.14)64.06% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.73%
    Metz 34.93%
    Draw 26.34%
ToulouseDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse
43.8%
Draw
43.8%
Metz
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
May 14, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes123271319-611
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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