Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Clermont |
39.88% ( -0.33) | 26.81% ( 0.67) | 33.31% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.14% ( -2.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.08% ( -2.8) | 53.92% ( 2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( -2.4) | 75.37% ( 2.4) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( -1.46) | 26.49% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -1.98) | 61.68% ( 1.98) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -1.6) | 30.43% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -1.95) | 66.63% ( 1.95) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |