Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
44.02% ( -0.07) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% ( -0.05) | 50.61% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( -0.04) | 72.52% ( 0.05) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( -0.05) | 22.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( -0.08) | 56.66% ( 0.08) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.14% ( 0.01) | 30.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% ( 0.01) | 67.15% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |