Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
26.92% ( -0.07) | 25.1% ( -0.04) | 47.97% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( 0.1) | 49.69% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( 0.09) | 71.71% ( -0.1) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( -0) | 32.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( -0) | 69.41% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( 0.09) | 20.74% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.63% ( 0.14) | 53.36% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.92% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |