Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice1 - 1Lille
We said: Nice 1-1 Lille
Given that Nice and Lille have both experienced big changes in recent months, Friday's clash will likely be a scrappy affair as both sides aim to grow into the new season, with a low-scoring draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
31.77% ( -0.22) | 26.7% ( -0.09) | 41.53% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.28) | 53.85% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( 0.24) | 75.31% ( -0.24) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0) | 31.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.01) | 67.8% ( 0.01) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.29) | 25.58% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.54% ( 0.39) | 60.46% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 31.77%
Lille 41.53%
Draw 26.69%
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.53% |
How you voted: Nice vs Lille
Nice
43.4%Draw
34.0%Lille
22.6%53
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Nice
1-3
Lille
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 35
Lille
2-0
Nice
