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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nantes

Lille
2 - 0
Nantes

David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

Without their number one goalkeeper, Nantes' hopes of ending a dismal stretch of away form - as well as their lengthy winless run against Lille - are surely slim to none this weekend. Fonseca's men turned the Stade Pierre-Mauroy into a fortress last season, and they should find a way to break down the defensive Nantes setup en route to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
63.96% (0.344 0.34) 20.26% (-0.169 -0.17) 15.77% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.423 0.42)42.66% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.94% (0.417 0.42)65.06% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (0.22699999999999 0.23)12.65% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (0.469 0.47)38.79% (-0.47 -0.47)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)76.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lille 63.96%
    Nantes 15.77%
    Draw 20.26%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.77%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Nantes
0.0%
19
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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