Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
63.96% ( 0.34) | 20.26% ( -0.17) | 15.77% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.43% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% ( 0.42) | 42.66% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.94% ( 0.42) | 65.06% ( -0.42) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% ( 0.23) | 12.65% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.2% ( 0.47) | 38.79% ( -0.47) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.03% ( 0.03) | 39.97% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.37% ( 0.03) | 76.62% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.26% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |