MX23RW : Monday, January 27 17:10:35| >> :600:1972648:1972648:
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Lille

Rijeka
1 - 1
Lille

Smolcic (58')
Fruk (37'), Galesic (45+1'), Ivanovic (49'), Vukcevic (111'), Obregon (114'), Smolcic (120+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (108')
David (8'), Diakite (99')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between HNK Rijeka and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: HNK Rijeka 1-1 Lille (Lille to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Carrying a 2-1 advantage into the second leg, Lille will likely be happy to sit back and defend their lead on Thursday, even if it means advancing after a hard-fought draw in Croatia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawLille
29.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 23.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 46.9% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)43.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)65.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.57%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)49.98% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 29.12%
    Lille 46.9%
    Draw 23.96%
HNK RijekaDrawLille
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.9%

How you voted: Rijeka vs Lille

HNK Rijeka
27.0%
Draw
16.2%
Lille
56.8%
37
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Lille
2-1
Rijeka
Zhegrova (43'), Yoro (89')
Andre (15'), Zhegrova (52')
Pasalic (24')
Mitrovic (52'), Labrovic (81')
rhs 2.0
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