Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
3 - 0
Angers

Fofana (26'), Openda (30', 46')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

The Stade Bollaert-Delelis is not quite the fortress it once was for Lens earlier in the campaign, but they should encounter few obstacles en route to a comfortable win this weekend. With Angers mired in turmoil on and off the field, a reignited Openda can feast alongside his Champions League-chasing teammates, and keeping the scoreline respectable should be the visitors' primary goal here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Angers
69.37% ( -0.16)	18.56% ( 0.07)	12.07% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.74% (

-0.07)

43.26% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

-0.07)

65.65% (

0.07)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

-0.06)

11.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.99% (

-0.13)

36.01% (

0.14)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

0.11)

45.79% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

0.09)

81.56% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lens 69.37%

Angers 12.07%

Draw 18.56%

Lens	Draw	Angers
2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.37%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.56%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.07%