Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Angers |
69.37% ( -0.16) | 18.56% ( 0.07) | 12.07% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% ( -0.07) | 43.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( -0.07) | 65.65% ( 0.07) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.67% ( -0.06) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.99% ( -0.13) | 36.01% ( 0.14) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( 0.11) | 45.79% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( 0.09) | 81.56% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.37% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |