Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lyon |
19.01% ( -0.09) | 21.89% ( -0.07) | 59.1% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( 0.18) | 44.33% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% ( 0.17) | 66.7% ( -0.17) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( 0) | 37.14% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( 0) | 73.93% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% ( 0.11) | 14.64% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% ( 0.22) | 42.78% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.01% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 59.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |