Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
19.07% ( -0.1) | 23.36% ( 0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.34) | 50.44% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.3) | 72.37% ( 0.3) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% ( -0.31) | 40.64% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% ( -0.29) | 77.23% ( 0.28) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.1) | 17.28% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -0.18) | 47.61% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.07% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |