Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lens |
14.06% (![]() | 20.7% (![]() | 65.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% (![]() | 47.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% (![]() | 70.16% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.38% (![]() | 45.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.58% (![]() | 81.42% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% (![]() | 13.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.63% (![]() | 41.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.06% | 1-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 12.34% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.52% Total : 65.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |