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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Nantes

Lens
3 - 1
Nantes

Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mollet (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

 Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
50.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65) 25.63% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.413 0.41)54.25% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.345 0.34)75.65% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.45099999999999 0.45)21.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.691 0.69)54.44% (-0.693 -0.69)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.18 -0.18)38.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.173 -0.17)74.87% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.69%
    Nantes 23.67%
    Draw 25.62%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
60.5%
Draw
23.7%
Nantes
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Lens

Moutoussamy (79')
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lens
Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')
Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')
Nov 25, 2020 6pm
Lens
1-1
Nantes
Kakuta (27')
Doucoure (37'), Kakuta (64'), Gradit (78'), Bade (85')
Toure (81' pen.)
Girotto (7'), Kolo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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