Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
57.28% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) | 19.54% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 0.05) | 49.03% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( 0.04) | 71.11% ( -0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.01) | 16.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.1% ( 0.03) | 46.9% ( -0.03) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( 0.04) | 39.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( 0.04) | 76% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |