Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Le Havre
57.28% ( -0.01)	23.17% ( -0.01)	19.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

0.05)

49.03% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

0.04)

71.11% (

-0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

0.01)

16.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1% (

0.03)

46.9% (

-0.03)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

0.04)

39.3% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24% (

0.04)

76% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lens 57.27%

Le Havre 19.54%

Draw 23.17%

Lens	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.54%