Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 2Lens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We say: Freiburg 1-1 Lens (1-1 a.e.t., Freiburg win on penalties)
There was very little to separate the sides in the first leg, and this has all the hallmarks of a tie that could go the distance this week. Lens have shown stronger form domestically, but home advantage is likely to play its part in favour of Freiburg, as this appears to be one of the games most likely to be decided by a penalty shootout across all of Thursday's action. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%).
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Lens |
36.88% ( -0.14) | 25.12% ( -0.02) | 37.99% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
