Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 0
Lyon

Sotoca (82' pen.)
Sotoca (78'), Said (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tagliafico (27'), Reine-Adelaide (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 0-1 PSG
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

These two sides have scored 32 goals combined in their opening eight matches and have an abundance of capable goalscorers among their squads, so goals could be in high supply here. Lens' perfect home form combined with Lyon's dreadful record on the road so far makes the hosts slight favourites though, and they may just have enough to edge this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lyon
40.35% ( 0.46)	24.41% ( 0.08)	35.24% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 59.68% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

-0.46)

43.09% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

-0.46)

65.48% (

0.45)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

0.02)

21.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

0.03)

54.42% (

-0.04)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.52)

24.05% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68% (

-0.73)

58.32% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Lens 40.35%

Lyon 35.24%

Draw 24.41%

Lens	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.24%